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My first thought with this game was "hammer the Hawks!" because they'll be 'dogs​. But Seattle being a road favorite in Week 1 is a little stinky. I'd.


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After experimenting and failing with a pass-first approach by Duck Hodges for one week, the Steelers shouldn't need much out of their offense.


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Our staff has already made picks for seven Week 1 games. the Vikings, drafting a first-round talent at defensive end in A.J. Epenesa (Iowa) in.


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After experimenting and failing with a pass-first approach by Duck Hodges for one week, the Steelers shouldn't need much out of their offense.


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Welcome to Pickwatch, the home of NFL expert picks. We track all the experts from ESPN, CBS, Profootballfocus and more and compare them for accuracy!


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It's week one of the NFL season. Doesn't it just feel good to say that?Football is back and people want to know who's going to win and who's going to lose?


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My first thought with this game was "hammer the Hawks!" because they'll be 'dogs​. But Seattle being a road favorite in Week 1 is a little stinky. I'd.


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Rams coach Sean McVay will undoubtedly tweak some of the offensive hallmarks that defined his first two Rams teams, possibly with fewer three-.


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After experimenting and failing with a pass-first approach by Duck Hodges for one week, the Steelers shouldn't need much out of their offense.


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nfl first week picks

The Titans are a nice sleeper team to make a run in the AFC this year, but I don't know if this is the best spot for them. But let's not pretend people are applauding the Vikings' offseason. The Colts might not be able to practice together that much. I will absolutely back the heavy chalk here. I would hold off and find out if fans will be inside the stadium. Carolina's draft was outstanding from a defensive perspective, and they should have enough offense to put points on the board. Ron Rivera will get things cooking. It's scary fading these teams and their explosion but that's a silly high total that is predicated on last year's playoff game. Even if the presence of Kellen Moore helps mitigate that, it still will cause some translation stuff for McCarthy at the very least. Minnesota reloaded and was a better team last year. I would look at the over here, but I also think these two teams can be more methodical than they're given credit for, which can lead to some longer drives and reduced scoring. I understand why the line is where it is -- the Ravens are awesome, they came out firing last year and the Browns aren't a great team, or at least have a lot of unknowns about them. The Jaguars aren't good but they're more than a touchdown 'dog to Indy at home??? It's Week 1 so grain of salt time and I know I pointed out the whole consistency thing, but this is too many points for a Bucs team that I believe will be a legit Super Bowl contender. I trust in Kevin Stefanski as an offensive mind, though, so I'll take the Browns getting more than a touchdown here. People are backing Atlanta this year and I'm off that wagon. This all hinges on Ben Roethlisberger , who is much more of an unknown than we can possibly imagine right now. The Broncos defense should be good enough to bottle up Derrick Henry , who hasn't ever really gotten going at full Derrick Henry speed until the second half of the season rather quietly. The Seahawks were lucky last year, but I'm just skeptical of the Falcons right now and Dan Quinn hasn't had hot starts that often. Matt Patricia is straight up in his two Week 1 games. There was an error processing your subscription.{/INSERTKEYS}{/PARAGRAPH} Just like before, the Chiefs are huge favorites. Think Matt Rhule gets it going in Week 1 with a surprising performance. The Bills are nearly touchdown favorites in Week 1. But it's been very clear that the Bolts plan on being methodical on offense and want to run the ball a ton. The coronavirus has thrown a wrench in everyone's plans, but the NFL believes it will forge ahead come September. The Lions are an interesting team to me for the full year, if only because the NFC North isn't that great. Not enough depth. The Ravens' last regular season loss of ? Matt Nagy has lost both of his Week 1 games; both were against the Packers. This time around, Kansas City won't just be coming off a bye, it'll be coming off the longest bye possible. Sure, they have a good overall roster and a potentially elite defense. The Seahawks have killed it on the east coast during these early start times, bucking convention. You can check out the Week 1 picks pod below. By Will Brinson. The under is a good look too here, in my opinion -- that number is way too high for two teams who could ultimately play this game at a conservative pace. Let's hope so. I love the under in this spot -- it's heavily inflated. I don't think they're going to be putting up more than points per game, and I believe Joe Burrow can match that. And Drew Lock's loaded with weapons. There isn't a bigger Philip Rivers stan than yours truly, but this is a bridge too far given how long we've got until the season starts. Who has seen Big Ben walk around? Both teams moved to and then went in wildly different directions. Best game of Week 1 and it's not close. The Ravens earned the best record in football. But I'm not really worried about it, even though the performance from last year by the Vikings against Green Bay doesn't give a whole lot of hope for something solid here. Gardner Minshew has more reps with his receivers than Rivers does with his. May 11, at am ET 10 min read. I'll take those points in a heartbeat, especially if Ben struggles throughout the offseason at all. The Giants have a lot of questions on offense, especially against a talented Pittsburgh D, but three point dogs at home on Monday night in Week 1 against a QB coming off major elbow surgery? The Raiders are a shocking straight up in early window games since and I don't like this spot for them. We know -- we think -- exactly when NFL's games will be played this year. Who has seen Big Ben throw? They draw a very good 49ers team, but Arizona kept it close twice against San Francisco last year and will be improved thanks to the addition of DeAndre Hopkins. Week 4 at home against the Browns. Shocking line here. Best bet of the week. And Russell Wilson just feels comfortable on the East Coast too. In the spirit of optimism, let's make picks for every single Week 1 game against the spread below. But it might not be out of the gate and there is a whole lot more consistency on the Eagles coming into the season, something I think will be big given how the offseason is going. Who has seen Big Ben underneath that beard? And that will be a problem for the Fins, because of how poorly young quarterbacks play in Foxborough. Holler at me on Twitter WillBrinson if you have questions and make sure to subscribe to the Pick Six Podcast -- our daily NFL pod, full of mirth and nonsense and football! I've got some concerns about the weapons in New York, but I'm willing to take the points here and roll the dice on the Jets being better than people think. I would probably lean under as well -- I think now is the time to play it, too, since it will likely come down rather than go up. I'll take the home team in this late night Monday matchup. {PARAGRAPH}{INSERTKEYS}The NFL schedule is here. The altitude is just a problem for folks. I'd let it drift back towards the Falcons before I took it; I would expect they're popular with the sharp folks as a home 'dog and eventually end up becoming the favorite here. What a time to be alive. See All Newsletters. My first thought with this game was "hammer the Hawks! It's not unreasonable: this is a really good roster and if Josh Allen takes a leap, Buffalo could be a legitimate contender. The defending champs get to replay one of their playoff games, hosting the Texans, who provided a whole host of entertainment during the divisional round last year. This could close as a pick 'em if he does. Andy Reid is straight up in Week 1 games since arriving in Kansas City and in those six wins he has an average margin of victory of 13 points. Please check the opt-in box to acknowledge that you would like to subscribe. Green Bay was another luck box last season and I would imagine the Vikings are popular here because of how "bad" the perception of the Packers' draft is. The Browns spiraled out of control and fired everyone. Can you find a less appealing Week 1 game? They're writing off the defense very quickly and no one is that thrilled Kirk Cousins is back. The Redskins are going to be a much better team than they have in years past, at some point anyway. The Raiders had a very nice offseason and I was definitely on the "Carolina might be tanking" bandwagon, but I have come off that stance a little bit based on the Panthers offseason. Both teams will be very methodical, even if the defenses aren't exactly outstanding. Fascinating matchup here, with the Patriots playing their first Week 1 game without Tom Brady as the starter since The Dolphins and Ryan Fitzpatrick wrecked New England's dynasty in Week 17 last year; can they come in and give Bill Belichick problems as he attempts to get things going in a post Brady world? The under should get a serious look here given how good these two defensive secondaries are. Maybe I change this if the Bucs don't get a full training camp, but I'll take Tampa Bay with the extra points right now. The Jets shouldn't be slept on though -- this is too big of a line for me, especially with the jump I'm expecting from Sam Darnold this year. Shortened offseason and having to head to Denver where almost every team struggles to produce early in the season. I'm gonna be on the Bengals big time in this Week 1 game, because I just don't understand why the Chargers would be a full field goal favorite here. Reid is against the spread ATS in those games as well -- one of the times he failed to cover was as a 6. I'd probably lean under here, but I'm not sure the number is going to drop a ton out of the gate as low as it is already. He's also coming off a ton of carries and is on the franchise tag. But Seattle being a road favorite in Week 1 is a little stinky. IF homefield advantage is there, I want the Vikings here. I'll take my chances with an unpopular Week 1 touchdown dog at home. The Cardinals are a team I'm all in on this year and Week 1 is no exception. My guess is Tua Tagovailoa ultimately gets the start -- I think he's healthy enough to get going out of the gate.